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Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Declining Baton Rouge Real Estate Market Looks Like This and Why It Would Cause Low Appraisals

http://www.batonrougehousingreports.com/ - A Declining Baton Rouge Real Estate Market Looks Like This and Why It Would Cause Low Appraisals. YES, I understand this is long video of 10 minutes, but it will help explain what lenders and appraisers are looking for when they “both” analyze a market.

 

baker-la-housing-market

In this video, local Greater Baton Rouge Appraiser, Bill Cobb, shows what a classic declining market looks like by MLS Chart and Appraisal and how such a weak market could certainly lead to a low appraisal.

Remember that we’re speaking of a specific segment of the Baker housing market in the 1600sf to 2500sf living area range. This study isn’t of the entire Baker housing market, but some of the general comments in the video do apply to the whole market.

baker-la-housing-market-declining

 

This weak Baker Louisiana market had these characteristics: Very Slow Sales. Declining Median Sales Price. 22 Month Supply. 21 Competing Listings Is Oversupply when only 15 sold in previous 12 months. 93% List-To-Sales Price Ratio is weak. 2011 Baker Hills 6 sales, Median $62K, Avg Sold:$52/sf, Avg SP/LP%:97%, Avg DOM:126 Days. 33% Competing REO Sold Rate Since 1/2009.

baker-la-housing-market-foreclosures

 

NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of 01/01/2009 to 11/28/2011. This information was extracted on 11/28/2011.

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Baton Rouge Real Estate Under $150K: Stick To New Paint and Carpet To Get Your Home Sold

Baton Rouge Real Estate Under $150,000: Stick To New Paint and Carpet To Get Your Home Sold

Baton Rouge Real Estate House Renovation Carpet Paint

A St. Petersburg Florida REALTOR® and Appraiser has some advice for Greater Baton Rouge Locals when it comes to sell their home in this 2011 market: Stick To New Paint and Carpet To Get Your Home Sold.

There’s a new article out entitled, “Low Appraisals Blamed for Scuttling Real Estate Deals“. In the article, the reason given for Low Appraisals is, “Appraisals routinely come in under the negotiated sales price, often driven down by the glut of foreclosed houses and short sales with rock-bottom prices.”.

THE POINT OF THE ARTICLE IS TO CAUTION ON SPENDING TOO MUCH ON RENOVATIONS TO HELP GET THE HOME SOLD!

In the article, the “Capetz” family invested an extra $11,000 on a new roof and air conditioner to help their home sell ($11,000 for a new roof and central heat and air is really cheap). In July, they accepted an offer of $142,000 only to have the home sale fall through because home appraisal came in at only $130,000.

Frank GregoireGOOD ADVICE! Quoted from the article, “Frank Gregoire, that St. Petersburg FL and Appraiser who headed the Florida Real Estate Appraisal Board for eight years during the housing boom, advised sellers to stick with new paint and carpet.

“If you make a major improvement, you should expect to enjoy that improvement. Don’t treat it as an investment,” he said. “It’s unlikely you’ll get what you paid for it.”

How Does This Apply To The Baton Rouge Housing Market? First, we’re talking about the under $150,000 market. Baton Rouge Housing Market doesn’t face near the number of foreclosures or short sales as in Florida. However, with that said, one (1) issue I see in Baton Rouge Housing is overimproved homes, thanks partially to HGTV. Example: A $95,000 home in a first time homebuyer starter neighborhood with $5,000 in Slab Granite Counters. Or, in the photo below, a $160,000+/- local economy home with an elaborate approximate $10,000 Kitchen Slab Granite Plus Tile Backsplash Upgrade of which the market still hasn’t chosen to pay for.

overimproved home

HGTV Ruined Some Homeowners! Since the early 2000′s, with easy credit and HGTV, some locals went overboard on overimproving their homes on items that the market didn’t reward them for at the time of resale. Instead of keeping their homes at the quality of construction levels typical in their subdivision, they chose to invest $15,000 to $50,000 above that level and thus overimprove on items that the market wouldn’t reward dollar-for-dollar on at resale time.

The Point Of This Baton Rouge Home Appraisal Article: When Updating Your Home for a listing, pay attention to your price range, what other homes in your subdivision have in terms of quality and mirror those homes and features. While Slab Granite Counters certainly help a home sell, they are not common nor a wise investment for homes under $150,000. If your home needs a new roof because it’s old and for the seller’s appraisal to pass and qualify for an FHA or RD financing, then that might be a wise purchase, which might not return dollar-for-dollar. It might be wise to stick with just new paint and carpet and if listings feedback says do more updates, then you can proceed further.

NOTE: Frank Gregoire is a friend and Appraiser Peer of mine. Frank writes the “Appraiser Active Blog” and enjoys the leisure life as an Appraiser along with Florida Coast with his wife, Fran. And, Frank likes to rub this in on Facebook weekly about how spoiled he is to live, play and work in paradise!

Bill Cobb Appraiser Baton RougeAuthor: Bill Cobb with Accurate Valuations Group (Greater Baton Rouge Home Appraisals).

Image Source: Top Image Purchased @ Bigstockphoto.com

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Where’s The Bottom For Greater Baton Rouge Housing? Answer Is To Look At Local Incomes

http://www.baton-rouge-real-estate.com/ – Baton Rouge Home Appraisers: Where’s The Bottom For Greater Baton Rouge Housing? Correct Answer Is Based On Local Incomes!

baton-rouge-housing

 

Last week, David Jacobs, with the Baton Rouge Business Report, reported a startling study about how high and out of sync Greater Baton Rouge housing prices are when combined with transportation. The article, Baton Rouge-area household spends 52% of income on housing and transportation, was published on 8/9/2011. In the article or study, the CNT recommends spending no more than 45% and that combining local housing prices with true transportation costs provides “an accurate measure of of the true affordability of housing”.

Other Studies. We also know that according to Core Logic, Baton Rouge is in its’ 9th straight month of home price correction. We also know from the 24/7 Wall Street study that Baton Rouge made America’s 10 Sickest Housing Markets list this month.

We’re In For More Correction. It would appear, based on these 3 studies, that Greater Baton Rouge Housing is in for more correction.

This is my reply below to David Jacobs submitted on 8/10/2011:

I read your Business Report Weekly and wanted to thank you for reporting on this. This has really helped me. Just 3 weeks ago, I was ready to go for a visit to the LSU Real Estate Research Department with similar questions as to where should GBR Housing be priced relative to local incomes? I think this is a foundational question going forward and might possibly shed some light on where the bottom might be in local housing prices in the future. If GBR housing is out of proportion, by how much or by what percentage? Are the current still nose-bleed high housing prices sustainable? Obviously if we asked this question in 2007 from some of the Zachary and ASC $300,000 neighborhoods, the answer today is probably not. $140/sf for new homes wasn’t sustainable across the board. This is why builders like DSLD Homes are having such success……because the insanity in local new home prices from 2006 to 2008 was never sustainable based on local incomes.

baton-rouge-new-homesAs a local home appraiser, I’ve been scratching head all along here wondering WHY local housing is so expensive…..in Louisiana. Baton Rouge has been a wonderful place to grow up and now raise my family, but we’re not California with almost a perfect climate where one would expect high prices. Why are home prices so high here….still in 2011? Even with the modest correction, it would certainly seem that we’re still at nose bleed levels on the pricing of some local housing relative to local incomes. I scratch my head monthly on this issue.

Please understand, I’m not a conservative appraiser. Whatever the housing market’s decision has been, in the form of home sales, I reflect in my reports. However, we’re now about 9 months into this local correction and I’m beginning to think that locals are finally coming to their senses on what they pay for local housing relative to local incomes. There are A LOT of sellers in denial right now, and Hurricane Katrina didn’t help with that at all. It only made it worse. Today, some local Real Estate Agents are hiring me for my Listing Appraisals on their listings that have been on the market for months now, they know are overpriced and they bring me in to show the seller the reality of the local numbers in comparison to sellers perception that their home is worth more.

The chart below doesn’t indicate a huge problem in GBR housing, not like some sour markets in the USA where there’s 3-4 years of supply. However, talk to most appraisers locally and you’ll find that we’re checking “Slow” market for growth or sales and in some subdivision/markets, there’s been such few home sales that it’s become very difficult to complete appraisals for the lack of comps sold within 3 to 6 months, especially under $125,000.

GBRMLS Sales and Inventory From 2007 to 2011 EBRP ASC LIV WBRP

NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of August 2010 to July 2011. This information was extracted on 8/10/2011. YES, this appraiser does have the permission of GBRMLS to use the chart above.

These are some of the things I’ve been thinking about in GBR Housing since 2007 and going forward. Are we fairly priced or still way out of balance? Yes, the market is correcting back to some sense of sanity…..finally…..and how many more months or years will it be till we reach equilibrium (sanity) based on local incomes.

New Homes Are Still Priced High. I still see a local builder and have them say something like, “This market is killing me…when the market coming back?!”. And that builder just doesn’t get it….that the post Hurricane Katrina builder’s market isn’t coming “back” in terms of such exaggerated pricing. The odd thing here is the LHBA (La Home Builders Association) would probably tell you today that we’re too low for their builders to make a decent profit on local home building. What they experienced in 2006-2008 (unsustainable pricing) and expect in the future just wasn’t/isn’t sustainable.

This is why I believe that new TND in Zachary recently announced will take a decade or more to build out because $140/sf to $200/sf just isn’t what local incomes will support and until local builders understand this, they’ll be more developments started and then finished by DSLD Homes. This is also why I believe that new Wyndam Estates development in Denham Springs with 1600sf homes on “tiny lots” in $190′s or $120/sf will also take much, much longer than expected to fill and should be filled with homes in the $150s to $160s. It’s about market economics and local incomes and the local economics, at least outside of Baton Rouge itself, is in favor of DSLD Homes pricing. Those builders and developers that fail to understand local incomes will continue to have their fledgling developments sold to and finished by developers like DSLD Homes after spending millions to break the dirt.

Bill Cobb Appraiser Baton RougeBill Cobb, Appraiser

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Home Purchases In Greater Baton Rouge Pick Up Momentum, Market Report May 2011

http://www.homeappraisalsbatonrouge.com/ – Greater Baton Rouge Home Purchases Pick Up Steam, Market Report May 2011

rising-home -salesTHE GOOD NEWS!

There’s Confidence in the local Greater Baton Rouge housing market! The home purchase appraisal orders have really picked up this week with momentum like I haven’t seen yet this year. Just this week, we’ve seen a surge of orders for home purchases. Bill Cobb, Appraiser

THE NOT-SO GOOD NEWS!

Baton Rouge Business Report‘s Real Estate Weekly reports the housing market as “flat” in Louisiana and down in Baton Rouge.

br businessreportAccording to the Businss Report, “The number of houses sold in Louisiana during the first quarter was virtually unchanged from the first three months of 2010. There were 5,604 homes sold through the end of March, according to figures from the Louisiana Realtors. That’s 0.6% more than the 5,568 homes sold through the first quarter of 2010. Houma-Thibodaux was the strongest metro market, with 202 homes sold during the quarter, a 14.1% increase over the first three months of 2010. The Lake Charles market also saw a double-digit percentage increase, with 289 sales, 10.3% more than the 262 sold in the first quarter of 2010. Home sales were up 7.9% in New Orleans to 1,837, 2.6% in Lafayette to 640, and 2.5% in Alexandria-Pineville to 248. Shreveport-Bossier City had the biggest sales drop, falling 12.8%. There were 775 homes sold during the first quarter, compared with 889 the year before. Monroe had a 4% drop in sales, to 388; and Baton Rouge was down 3.3%, to 1,225. Statewide, the average sale price of a home fell by 1.5%, from $177,381 to $174,687. For the rest of Real Estate Weekly, click here.

 

AND, LOCAL AGENT, RYAN SPENCER, OFFERS HIS UPDATE!

ryan-spencer-coldwell-banker

 

“1st Quarter 2010 to 2011 Avg. List Price $198,078/$192,161
Avg. Sale Price $191,506/$185,769
Avg. Days on the Market 95/104
List to Sale Price Ratio 96.68%/96.67%
Months of Inventory 9.19/10.76

The home buyer tax credit was in effect last year which may have boosted sales numbers in the first quarter of 2010. Despite tough economic times our market is still pretty strong overall. If you have any questions please contact me at 225-505-5619 or email me at ryan.spencer@coldwellbanker.com

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Baton Rouge Housing Trends: Old Jefferson Home Prices Correct Downward Into 2011

http://www.batonrougemarketmetrics.com/Baton Rouge Market Metrics: Old Jefferson Home Price Trends 2011 Update. Read below where there is an oversupply and some overpriced listings in Old Jefferson. Baton Rouge Real Estate: How Is Old Jefferson Subdivision Performing Into 2011? Since the Federal Tax Credit Expiration in May 2010, the number of home sales has declined considerably. And, the number of foreclosures has continued to rise. With fewer sales and more foreclosures, this increases the percentage of the number of sales as foreclosures. In 2010, GBRMLS reported 2 foreclosures and in 2011 Year-To-Date, no foreclosure solds.

Old-Jefferson-Subdivision-Entrance-Baton-Rouge-LA-70817

 

This is an on-going series into the decline of Greater Baton Rouge Home Values and why potential buyers should beware and not pay too much for “some” local overpriced listings. YES, there are overpriced listings in the Greater Baton Rouge Housing Market! Bill strongly recommends in this housing environment to obtain a Pre-Purchase Appraisal to gain ALL of the facts before making a local home purchase decision.

7522 Roster Drive Baton Rouge LA 70817 Old Jefferson Subdivision

A recent home appraisal in and analysis of Old Jefferson revealed this interesting finding. From 2008 to 2011, the median sales price has continued to decline. From 2008 to 2010, the median sales prices were $149,900, $147,000, $145,000 and in 2011 it’s currently $140,200 based only on 4 sales (the chart below isn’t updated yet). Again, this is only based on 4 sales in the first 4.5 months of 2011. In 2010, there were 22 total sales, so one can see that the number of home sales has dropped considerably. NOTE: There is no indication per GBRMLS sheets that any of these 4 2011 sales were distressed or foreclosures, just a correction to a lower price level.

THE CORRECTION IN HOME PRICES – This is becoming the familiar “Stair Step Up and Stair Step Down”…..The Climb And Then Descent Of The Stairs In This Chart Below Visually Explains The Correction! And, so does the chart below it showing a correction.

old-jefferson-subdivision-home-price-trends-baton-rouge

The Chart below shows a considerable correction since May 2010 for home comparable to a larger 2,000sf in Zip 70817. Yes, the average home in Old Jefferson is 1,500sf to 1,600sf. The home I was appraising had an addition.

old-jefferson-subdivision-house-price-trends-baton-rouge

 

questionmarkCURRENT LISTINGS. There are 20 current listings from $117,000 to $174,900 with 18 active and only 2 pending or under contract. So, there is a major oversupply of available homes for sale in Old Jefferson. The Average Listing Price per sq. ft. is $91.23/sf, which is too high and the reason these homes aren’t selling. If you examine the chart above, 2011 support is now in the $80s/sf, not the $90s/sf. This is called sellers in denial. AND, the 2 pendings have an average listing prices of $83.60/sf, further proof that reaching $91/sf in Old Jefferson was something that took place in 2010 but no longer in 2011. And, CoreLogictells us that Baton Rouge is in its’ 8th straight month of declines.

DISTRESSED LISTINGS. Out of the 20 current listings, 1 is a foreclosure and 3 are short sales. So, 20% of available listings are distressed in nature.

7508 Director Drive Baton Rouge LA 70817 Old Jefferson Subdivision

 

NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of January 1, 2008 to May 20, 2011. This information was extracted on 5/206/2011. YES, permission was granted by GBRMLS to use Subdivision Price Trends Chart Report!

greater-baton-rouge-association-of-realtors

AUTHOR’S BIO:

Bill-CobbBill Cobb is Greater Baton Rouge’s Home Appraiser frequently called upon by banks, homeowners, and savvy real estate investors to assess property values. A home appraiser with 20 years experience, Bill Cobb brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as a home appraiser.

Bill’s company, Accurate Valuations Group, serves Greater Baton Rouge (East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish).

Contact Bill Cobb and Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group for your next home appraisal:
Office: 225-293-1500, Cell: 225-953-0638
Fax: 1-866-663-6065
info@accuratevg.com
http://www.accuratevg.com/

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Can Baton Rouge Real Estate Agents Talk To Home Appraisers During A Purchase Appraisal?

appraisalsCan Real Estate Agents Talk To Home Appraisers During A Purchase Appraisal? In short, they absolutely can!

home-purchase-agreementHVCC was retired yet the policies it set in motion remain in motion. Now, Dodd-Frank’s Appraiser-Independence Legislation is the rule of the day and there is a lot of confusion out there between both Home Appraisers and Real Estate Agents on communication! I just had an Agent this week contact me complaining about an Appraiser that came in short on an appraisal because the Appraiser didn’t understand the home on the river had 2 boat slips instead of just 1. This Agent didn’t understand that he could have spoken with the appraiser at the beginning to clear all facts up about this property.

LiveValuationMagazineThe November 8, 2010 article in Live Valuation Magazine written by Larry Disney, Change to Appraisal and Appraiser Regulation Has Arrived – Are You Ready? sheds some light on this topic. The language in the new Dodd-Frank legislation appears to help the communication process between Agents and Appraisers and Sellers and Borrowers. For example, in this article, Mr. Disney states,

home-appraisal-grid-of-compsThe above language is not meant to imply that mortgage lenders, mortgage brokers, mortgage bankers, real estate brokers, appraisal management companies, employees of appraisal management companies, consumers, or any other person with an interest in a real estate transaction cannot ask an appraiser to consider additional information, including comparable sales; provide further detail, substantiation, or explanation for an opinion of value; and correct errors in the appraisal report.

It sounds to me like Agents can communicate with home Home Appraisers.

questionmarkI asked two (2) nationally known Home Appraisers these questions below:

At what point can the RE Agent talk to the appraiser regarding the purchase appraisal?

*When the initial appraisal inspection is setup?
*After the appraiser has inspected the property?
*If only at the initial setup, then can that agent provide their comps / support then to avoid an appeal later?
*What’s your policy or understanding on this?

*Was I wrong in what I’ve told this agent that asked me below:

Bill-CobbI as an appraiser have always considered there to be 3 Real Estate Professionals in the deal: Listing Agent, Selling Agent and Appraiser. To avoid appeals, I ask for the Agent’s comps at the time I set the inspection up. Some Agents are offended that I do this because they take it as if I’m questioning them. I’m not questioning, just trying to give them their opportunity to “talk” to the appraiser before I go out for the inspection and avoid an appeal later. I think you should be proactive with Appraisers and take as much control of your deals as possible……and that’s done initially when the appraiser calls to set up the appraisal inspection. It’s a myth that Agents can’t talk to Appraisers, it’s just that the communication must take place before the appraiser inspection and not after the inspection.

Their two (2) responses I received are below:

In summary, one Appraiser stated that there has been a lot over reaction and that they try to talk to the Agents of most deals. If a value issue arises, the appraiser said he contacts them for their data, which could be before or after the inspection, without letting on that there is a value issue.

Washington State Appraiser, Dave Towne, Said:

Dave-Towne-Washington-State-Appraiser-and-Appraiser-Education ServicesI’m with you on this. I sometimes will ask agents for their ‘cma’, saying “I want to be sure I understand how you priced this property at the time of listing. I want to be sure I don’t miss any properties that you may have considered.” I do this when I determine the price is too high based on comps I pre-research prior to inspecting.

Often, they don’t even have those in their file, and just provide listings at inspection time that support the price, but that are not necessarily comps from our perspective.

An appraiser has to be careful about accepting carte blanche properties provided by someone financially connected to the deal. But I don’t think trying to understand the preliminary pricing process is out of line. However, after the inspection and the report is complete/submitted, that’s not the time to complain – especially if the agent was uncooperative at the start.

We are supposed to ‘verify’ every sale. That involves communication with the players involved prior to report completion. Unfortunately agents sometimes have an adversarial attitude, and appraisers don’t do an effective job discussing this. I think you do, based on your info.

And anyone connected to the assignment can discuss aspects of the property with the appraiser in advance of report submittal, as long as there is no attempt to influence the value.”

what-about-amc-client-instructionsWhat does the Home Appraiser’s Client Instructions Say About This Topic – The AMC’s or Appraisal Management Companies?

I reviewed three (3) recent appraisal orders for home purchases. These Appraisal Orders were 8 pages, 3 pages and 4 pages in length. None of these orders stated the Appraiser couldn’t communicate with the Agent. Two sets of the instructions read,

Purchases require that you review the sales contract and state in report that contract was reviewed. Obtain contract from Agent/Contract or Contact AMC for help. Contract must be fully executed.” Fully executed means the contract must have ALL signatures or you the Agent hold up the deal!

For Purchase transactions, if AMC does not provide you with the sales contract governing the transaction, you must contact us or the borrower/REALTOR to obtain it.”

Conclusion. It appears from ALL sources reviewed that Agents can communicate with Appraisers during a purchase transaction. My advice as a Home Appraiser is to provide the Appraiser with a list of relevant features, upgrades, your Sketch showing your measurements and a list of your supportable comps used to market the property. By providing your comps up front, you are avoiding an appeal after the appraisal is completed, which will also help speed the closing process.

home-sketchWhy Did I just state, “your Sketch showing your measurements”? Because in the month of May in my market, one deal did not appraise and another deal was very, very close simply because the Agents either did not measure the homes, simply copied a previous incorrect MLS listing or measured them incorrectly per the National “ANSI” Standards. The MLS Listings were incorrect by 173sf and 215sf. The 173sf error was in a market where homes were selling in the $121/sf range. If you have your own sketch, you can be sure that your listing is the right size, priced properly and be less questionable in terms of the appraisal.

 

AUTHOR’S BIO:

Bill Cobb is Greater Baton Rouge’s Home Appraiser frequently called upon by banks, homeowners, and savvy real estate investors to assess property values. A home appraiser with 20 years experience, Bill Cobb brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as a home appraiser.

Bill’s company, Accurate Valuations Group, serves Greater Baton Rouge (East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish).

Contact Bill Cobb and Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group for your next home appraisal:
Office: 225-293-1500, Cell: 225-953-0638
Fax: 1-866-663-6065
info@accuratevg.com
http://www.accuratevg.com/

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Baton Rouge Real Estate Videos: Even Highland Creek Is Correcting Downward into 2011

http://www.accuratevg.com/ – Baton Rouge Real Estate Videos: Even Highland Creek Subdivision Is Correcting Downward into 2011. This is an on-going series into the decline of Greater Baton Rouge Home Values and why potential buyers should beware and not pay too much for “some” local overpriced listings. Bill strongly recommends in this housing environment to obtain a Pre-Purchase Appraisal to gain ALL of the facts before making a local home purchase decision.

Highland Creek Subdivision Baton Rouge LA 70808

 

Greater Baton Rouge Home Prices, in general, are in correction mode per the CoreLogic report for the 7th straight month and reflected in local housing statistics I see almost daily. The favorable Highland Creek Subdivision is no exception.

Highland Creek. Per the HOA Website http://highlandcreekbr.com/, “Highland Creek is an awesome neighborhood off highland road in beautiful Baton rouge. It is conventialy located to downtown BR, the LSU campus, three major retial outlets and two hospitals; great for kids of all ages.” Highland Creek was developed around 1982-1983 with 1 to 2 story garden homes ranging from 1,076sf up to 2,330sf situated on smaller lots. Approximately 75% of Highland Creek is located in the Flood Zone per the FEMA map below, map from a recent appraisal.

Flood Map

 

Highland Creek Homes

541 Bonabridge Drive Baton Rouge LA 70808

313 HEATHERWOOD DRIVE BATON ROUGE LA 70808

THE CORRECTION IN HOME PRICES – The Climb And Then Descent Of The Stairs In This Chart Below Visually Explains The Correction!

highland-creek-home-sales-data

As with Hurricane Katrina, the Median Sales Price rose from $125,000 in 2005 up to $138,500 in 2006. Then median sales price from 2007 to 2009 from $145,000, $147,500 and $154,000 rounded. 2010 began the descent to $148,500 and 4 sales in 2011 currently have it at $126,500. At the highs, the Average Sold Price was at $104/sf and now in 2011 it’s at $84/sf. YES, 2 of the 4 2011 sales were foreclosures helping to bring down the 2011 numbers. However, even the 2 non-foreclosures sold at $90/sf and $99/sf showing a correction from 2008 and 2009 highs.

However, is it only Highland Creek correcting or are other competing developments correcting as well? YES, other developments are correcting as well. This chart below of 64 competing home sales in the 1250sf to 1650sf range in 70808, 70810 and 70820, homes in subdivisions that would be comparable to Highland Creek, shows a -6.2% decline.

smart-appraiser-gbrmls-for-highland-creek-subdivision-baton-rouge

 

NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of January 1, 2005 to May 2, 2011. This information was extracted on 5/2/2011. YES, permission was granted by GBRMLS to use Subdivision Price Trends Chart Report!

For More Information On Highland Creek, Check Out The HOA Website here:

highlandcreekbr

 

Author’s Bio:

Bill Cobb Appraiser Baton RougeBill Cobb is Greater Baton Rouge’s Home Appraiser frequently called upon by banks, homeowners, and savvy real estate investors to assess property values. A home appraiser with 20 years experience, Bill Cobb brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as a home appraiser.

Bill’s company, Accurate Valuations Group, serves Greater Baton Rouge (East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish).

Contact Bill Cobb and Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group for your next home appraisal:
Office: 225-293-1500, Cell: 225-953-0638
Fax: 1-866-663-6065
info@accuratevg.com
http://www.accuratevg.com/

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Baton Rouge Real Estate Appraisers Report On 2010 vs 2011 Housing Market

http://www.batonrougerealestateappraisers.net/ – East Baton Rouge Parish Quarterly Sales By Zip Code Q1 2010 versus Q1 2011 Report. Report shows a minor 3% decrease in number of home sales over 2010, but significant declines in Average Sales Prices overall. Report includes ALL housing types in East Baton Rouge Parish.

Accurate Valuations Group (Home Appraisals) has completed an analysis of the East Baton Rouge Parish housing market from First Quarter 2010 versus First Quarter 2011. The results are below. Click the chart to view in a larger size.

East Baton Rouge Parish Quarterly Sales By Zip Code Q1 2010 versus Q1 2011 Accurate Valuations Group

This is a lot of data to report on in one (1) article with “20″ zip codes. A short summary follows:

Number of Home Sales Decreased by 3% Over 2010! For the number of home sales, only 9 zip codes reported a smaller number of sales. And, Ten (10) Zip Codes experienced more sales in Q1 2011 than in Q1 2010, which is great news for our market. Still, in Q1 2010 there were 738 home sales versus 714 in Q1 2011, which is a difference of 24 sales or -3%.

Average Sales Prices Overall Decline! This is consistent with the CoreLogic report on national home prices falling for the 7th straight month, as reported on Thursday, April 7, 2011. Thirteen (13) of the 20 Zip Codes showed declining average sales prices versus only Seven (7) showing increases. Local home prices are continuing to correct.

CL

 

Average Sales Price Per Square Foot Overall Declines! This is consistent with the CoreLogic report. Fifteen (15) of the 20 Zip Codes showed declining average sales prices per sq. ft. versus only Seven (5) showing either no change or just slight increases.

Biggest Gainers. Zip Code 70807, the Scotlandville market, showed a 450% increase in number of home sales. Zip Code 70739, the Central or Greenwell Springs market, showed a +16.2% increase in Average Sales Prices AND +5.6% in Average Sales Price Per Sq. Ft.. Central is a “hot” market viewed by locals as having a favorable school district.

Largest Declines. Zip Code 70820, the market below LSU off Brightside, showed a -35.3% decrease in number of home sales. Zip Code 70802, the market in and around Central Business District, showed a -33.4% decline in Average Sales Prices AND -30.2% decline in Average Sales Price Per Sq. Ft..

Visit Baton Rouge Real Estate Buzz Here

baton-rouge-real-estate-buzz-screen-shot

 

 

Visit Baton Rouge Real Estate Buzz On Facebook

baton-rouge-real-estate-buzz-on-facebook

 

 

Author’s Bio:
Bill Cobb Appraiser Baton RougeBill Cobb is Greater Baton Rouge’s Home Appraiser frequently called upon by banks, homeowners, and savvy real estate investors to assess property values. A home appraiser with 20 years experience, Bill Cobb brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as a home appraiser.

AVGCameraLogo100Bill’s company, Accurate Valuations Group, serves Greater Baton Rouge (East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish).

Contact Bill Cobb and Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group for your next home appraisal:
Office: 225-293-1500, Cell: 225-953-0638
Fax: 1-866-663-6065
info@accuratevg.com
http://www.accuratevg.com/

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Greater Baton Rouge Area Property Tax Appeal Home Appraisals

http://www.gbrpropertytaxappeal.com/ – Greater Baton Rouge Area Property Tax Appeal Home Appraisals


We provide property tax appeal home appraisals for East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish. Cities we cover are Baton Rouge, Zachary La, Baker La, Greenwell Springs La, Port Allen La, Brusly La, Addis La, Prairieville La, Gonzales La, Geismar La, Saint Amant La, Denham Springs La, Walker La, Watson La. Appeal your property taxes today.

NOTE: It’s Responsible To State Here That We’ve Found Less Than 13% Of Local Housing Is “Over-Assessed”. Over-Assessments ARE NOT A Major Problem Locally! Most Local Housing Is Fairly Assessed By Assessor Teams That Strive To Be As Accurate As Possible! See “VIDEO EXPLANATION” for Parish by Parish Results…And, In West Baton Rouge Parish, We’ve Found No Over-Assessments Year-To-Date! This is not a cheap shot directed at our public servants as this video is complimentary of them. Our Tax Assessors are fair and will generally make it right. Bill Cobb, Appraiser

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Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Are Baton Rouge Home Sales Stalling Under $140K Range? Reason Low Appraisals?

http://www.batonrougerealestatetrends.net/ - Are Greater Baton Rouge Home Sales Stalling In The Under $140K Range? This is a post below I made to the Baton Rouge Real Estate Buzz Facebook Page Group on April 4, 2011.

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I’m noticing a trend in the $100K to $140K range where home sales have slowed, if not stalled. I’m reading about mortgages drying up for some. I’m looking at a 1004MC or Market Conditions Form right now in 70810 Area 53 where 12 months ago there were 17 sales and 2 months supply and in First Quarter 2011 only 1 sale in current 3 month quarter and 49 month supply. Of course, Baton Rouge home sales aren’t totally stalled for all price ranges, but for the under $140K range, there certainly has been a slowdown and increase in supply. Here’s the recent examples below.

This 1004MC or Market Conditions Report Based On Sub-Market Solds and Listings For an overbuilt home in Hermitage Subdivision, but using 1,200sf to 2300sf lowered price homes as comps in Area 53. From 17 sales 12 months ago to only 1 in current 3 months. Months supply of inventory 12 months ago was 21 months and currently it’s 48 months. Median sales price appeared to remain stable. It actually increased, BUT trend is not called just based on 1 sale.

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SAME TREND IN DENHAM SPRINGS FOR 2 HOMES. I saw this exact same trend in Denham Springs last week. A couple purchased a home for $141K in 2007, surely a Post Katrina high price, and it appraised in low $130s in 2011 due to expected market correction. There was going to be a correction! 1004MC or Market Conditions Data showed 8 sales and 9 month supply 12 months ago and only 2 sales and 36 month supply in current 3 month period. In this case, median sales prices had declined, corrected.

This 1004MC Based On Sub-Market Solds and Listings For a 1,500sf 40 yr old home in South Woodcrest Subdivision. From 9 sales 12 months ago to only 1 in current 3 months for past 2 quarters. Months supply of inventory 12 months ago was only 4 months and currently it’s 45 months. Median Sales Price was $128,450 12 months ago and is now $124,125, a dip of -3.4%. Also, the Median Sold Days On The Market increased from 76 days 12 months ago to 191 in Q1 2011 .

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This 1004MC or Market Conditions Report Based On Sub-Market Solds and Listings For a 1,150sf 40 yr old home in Sara Estate Subdivision. From 9 sales 12 months ago to only 1 in current 3 months for past 2 quarters. Months supply of inventory 12 months ago was only 4 months and currently it’s 45 months. Median sales price appeared to remain stable.

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The Positive In The Market! I do know there is a lot of positive chatter from local Real Estate Agents on FB on the uptick in home buyer interest….and that’s a positive for the market.

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PART OF THE REASON FOR “LOW APPRAISALS”. As home appraisers, the Big Banks are really concerned about Collateral Risk and want to know much more about the markets they lend in from the home appraisal. This is why today’s home appraiser works a couple of hours longer on each report to deliver all of this extra data, to better understand the markets they operate in and apply market based adjustments, whether those adjustments support a purchase agreement or not. Stats like I’m reporting here aren’t obvious on the surface when it comes to pricing a home for a listing BUT are made more transparent at appraisal time. Such stats as 45 months supply, declining median sales prices and average days on the market of 191 days do influence the final outcome on an appraisal and helps the lender make the decision as to if they are going to take the risk to lend in a market. Underwriters can choose to “cut” the appraised value.

In my opinion, sometimes a “Low Appraisal” isn’t really a low appraisal but more of a reflection on the reality in that market at that time period. And, that period of time could be months and months after that Agent’s sign went into the ground in front of that home. Markets Change! After all, if the market indicators above in the 1004MC were known to only the Appraiser and not known by the Agent marketing the home, then can you now see how and why appraisers are armed with more knowledge of market interaction? And, in the case where median sales prices were declining, can you see how that if this is not known by listing agents the trouble this causes at appraisal time? This is the newer depth of market analysis we appraisers are seeing in the markets we operate in AND the market analysis the average real estate agent is not seeing in the same market. Can you understand now why Fannie Mae, Freddie Mac, FHA, RD, VA and Banks want appraisers looking at these numbers more closely? I as a home appraiser certainly can.

Sometimes low appraisals happen because the overpriced listing was based on what the seller wanted versus pricing that home based on market support. Sometimes low appraisals happen because the home wasn’t properly measured and may be smaller than stated. There is supposed to be a real estate professional measure each listing based on the National ANSI Standards, whether that person be the actual Agent, their team or an appraiser. Sometimes low appraisals happen because excessive seller paid concessions were not deducted from the comps used by Agent to establish the listing price. Fannie Mae instructs appraisers to deduct excessive seller paid concessions and expects Agents to do the same at listing time. And, when the comps or solds used in the appraisal state seller paid concessions of $6,000 to $8,000 to $10,000 to $12,000, then those excessive concessions will be deducted from those comps. If typical is $3,000, then in the example above, -$3000, $-5000, -$7,000 and -$9,000 will be deducted to bring these comps back down to market normalcy! Fannie Mae, FHA and lenders know that when there is no “skin-in-the-game” or downpayment, they are more likely to get that home back. And, there are some P.A.’s written to utilize excessive seller paid concessions to get people into housing. It’s as if the regulations are asking the appraisers to help correct this situation in the market.

A Decrease In Mortgage Lending In These Price Ranges? Is there a decrease in mortgage lending in these price ranges or just harder to qualify for a mortgage loan….or both?

Bill-cobb-1280x720 as seen on youtube

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends
Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends