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Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Baton Rouge Real Estate Appraisal: MLS Area 43 Report For August 2011

http://batonrougerealestateappraisal.com/ – Baton Rouge Real Estate Appraisal: MLS Area 43 Report For August 2011. There’s a bright spot in Baton Rouge Housing in 2011 – The Lakes At White Oak Subdivision. In the slower sales market of 2011, there’s already been 18 sales year-to-date versus only 16 total for 2010. The chart below shows the median sales price is up 7.8% from August 2010 to August 2011 and up 5.1% since after Hurricane Katrina (or as of 1/1/2006).

There’s so much confidence in this neighborhood that a buyer, in the midst of a national recession, paid $791,500 or $154/sf for 6353 Double Tree Drive, see photo below. 6016 North Shore Drive sold for $464,000 in 1/2011 for $157/sf. A home on North Shore Ct is under contract for an unknown price and listed for $529,500 or $159/sf. Of course, these are homes on the lake and are the exception and not the typical sales price. For 2011, the median sales price for the year is $337,319 or $113/sf.

If there’s any negative report, it’s the 12% REO or sold foreclosure rate or 17 out of 140 total sales.

 

5741 Lake Shadow Drive Baton Rouge LA 70817 Lake At White Oak

This home at 5741 Lake Shadow Drive sold for $355,000 or $129/sf in 6/2011

The Lake At White Oak Subdivision Entrance Sign Baton Rouge

Entrance Sign

The Lake At White Oak Subdivision Statistics Baton Rouge

 

6353 Double Tree Drive Baton Rouge LA 70817 Lake At White Oak

6353 Double Tree Drive (Private Entrance)

18435 Weatherwood Drive Baton Rouge LA 70817 Lake At White Oak

From 01/01/2006 to 08/28/2011, GBRMLS is showing 17 REO or Foreclosure sales in The Lakes At White Oak Subdivision out of 140 total sales or about 12%, which is fairly high for East Baton Rouge Parish.

The Lake At White Oak Subdivision Foreclosure Rate Baton Rouge

NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of January 1, 2006 to August 28, 2011. This information was extracted on 08/28/2011. YES, this appraiser does have the permission of GBRMLS to use the chart above Subdivision Price Trends Report!

Baton Rouge Home Appraisers AVGAuthor: Bill Cobb, Appraiser with Accurate Valuations Group

 

 

 

 

 

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Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Where’s The Bottom For Greater Baton Rouge Housing? Answer Is To Look At Local Incomes

http://www.baton-rouge-real-estate.com/ – Baton Rouge Home Appraisers: Where’s The Bottom For Greater Baton Rouge Housing? Correct Answer Is Based On Local Incomes!

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Last week, David Jacobs, with the Baton Rouge Business Report, reported a startling study about how high and out of sync Greater Baton Rouge housing prices are when combined with transportation. The article, Baton Rouge-area household spends 52% of income on housing and transportation, was published on 8/9/2011. In the article or study, the CNT recommends spending no more than 45% and that combining local housing prices with true transportation costs provides “an accurate measure of of the true affordability of housing”.

Other Studies. We also know that according to Core Logic, Baton Rouge is in its’ 9th straight month of home price correction. We also know from the 24/7 Wall Street study that Baton Rouge made America’s 10 Sickest Housing Markets list this month.

We’re In For More Correction. It would appear, based on these 3 studies, that Greater Baton Rouge Housing is in for more correction.

This is my reply below to David Jacobs submitted on 8/10/2011:

I read your Business Report Weekly and wanted to thank you for reporting on this. This has really helped me. Just 3 weeks ago, I was ready to go for a visit to the LSU Real Estate Research Department with similar questions as to where should GBR Housing be priced relative to local incomes? I think this is a foundational question going forward and might possibly shed some light on where the bottom might be in local housing prices in the future. If GBR housing is out of proportion, by how much or by what percentage? Are the current still nose-bleed high housing prices sustainable? Obviously if we asked this question in 2007 from some of the Zachary and ASC $300,000 neighborhoods, the answer today is probably not. $140/sf for new homes wasn’t sustainable across the board. This is why builders like DSLD Homes are having such success……because the insanity in local new home prices from 2006 to 2008 was never sustainable based on local incomes.

baton-rouge-new-homesAs a local home appraiser, I’ve been scratching head all along here wondering WHY local housing is so expensive…..in Louisiana. Baton Rouge has been a wonderful place to grow up and now raise my family, but we’re not California with almost a perfect climate where one would expect high prices. Why are home prices so high here….still in 2011? Even with the modest correction, it would certainly seem that we’re still at nose bleed levels on the pricing of some local housing relative to local incomes. I scratch my head monthly on this issue.

Please understand, I’m not a conservative appraiser. Whatever the housing market’s decision has been, in the form of home sales, I reflect in my reports. However, we’re now about 9 months into this local correction and I’m beginning to think that locals are finally coming to their senses on what they pay for local housing relative to local incomes. There are A LOT of sellers in denial right now, and Hurricane Katrina didn’t help with that at all. It only made it worse. Today, some local Real Estate Agents are hiring me for my Listing Appraisals on their listings that have been on the market for months now, they know are overpriced and they bring me in to show the seller the reality of the local numbers in comparison to sellers perception that their home is worth more.

The chart below doesn’t indicate a huge problem in GBR housing, not like some sour markets in the USA where there’s 3-4 years of supply. However, talk to most appraisers locally and you’ll find that we’re checking “Slow” market for growth or sales and in some subdivision/markets, there’s been such few home sales that it’s become very difficult to complete appraisals for the lack of comps sold within 3 to 6 months, especially under $125,000.

GBRMLS Sales and Inventory From 2007 to 2011 EBRP ASC LIV WBRP

NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of August 2010 to July 2011. This information was extracted on 8/10/2011. YES, this appraiser does have the permission of GBRMLS to use the chart above.

These are some of the things I’ve been thinking about in GBR Housing since 2007 and going forward. Are we fairly priced or still way out of balance? Yes, the market is correcting back to some sense of sanity…..finally…..and how many more months or years will it be till we reach equilibrium (sanity) based on local incomes.

New Homes Are Still Priced High. I still see a local builder and have them say something like, “This market is killing me…when the market coming back?!”. And that builder just doesn’t get it….that the post Hurricane Katrina builder’s market isn’t coming “back” in terms of such exaggerated pricing. The odd thing here is the LHBA (La Home Builders Association) would probably tell you today that we’re too low for their builders to make a decent profit on local home building. What they experienced in 2006-2008 (unsustainable pricing) and expect in the future just wasn’t/isn’t sustainable.

This is why I believe that new TND in Zachary recently announced will take a decade or more to build out because $140/sf to $200/sf just isn’t what local incomes will support and until local builders understand this, they’ll be more developments started and then finished by DSLD Homes. This is also why I believe that new Wyndam Estates development in Denham Springs with 1600sf homes on “tiny lots” in $190′s or $120/sf will also take much, much longer than expected to fill and should be filled with homes in the $150s to $160s. It’s about market economics and local incomes and the local economics, at least outside of Baton Rouge itself, is in favor of DSLD Homes pricing. Those builders and developers that fail to understand local incomes will continue to have their fledgling developments sold to and finished by developers like DSLD Homes after spending millions to break the dirt.

Bill Cobb Appraiser Baton RougeBill Cobb, Appraiser

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Baton Rouge Home Appraisers Blog: University Hills Home Photos

http://www.homeappraisalsbatonrouge.com/ – Baton Rouge Home Appraisers Blog: University Hills Home Photos

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According to the University Hills Civic Association website, “University Hills has one of the widest entrances of any subdivision in Baton Rouge. And, it has the one of the oldest and most historic live oaks on public property in the city. The larger Centennial oak has been estimated to be nearly 300 years old. (In 1979 , it was designated “Legacy Oak” 0002 by the City-Parish Beautification Commission, meaning that it was the second oldest live oak on public property in East Baton Rouge.) The other oak, on the corner of Delgado and Tulane Drives, is approximately 200 years old.”

 

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Legacy Oak Designation Above!

The Homes Of University Hills Below Ranging in sizes from 768sf up to 4,168sf

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Bill Cobb is Greater Baton Rouge’s Home Appraiser frequently called upon by banks, homeowners, and savvy real estate investors to assess property values. A home appraiser with 20 years experience, Bill Cobb brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as a home appraiser.

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Bill’s company, Accurate Valuations Group, serves Greater Baton Rouge (East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish).

Contact Bill Cobb and Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group for your next home appraisal:
Office: 225-293-1500, Cell: 225-953-0638
Fax: 1-866-663-6065
info@accuratevg.com
http://www.accuratevg.com/

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Can Baton Rouge Real Estate Agents Talk To Home Appraisers During A Purchase Appraisal?

appraisalsCan Real Estate Agents Talk To Home Appraisers During A Purchase Appraisal? In short, they absolutely can!

home-purchase-agreementHVCC was retired yet the policies it set in motion remain in motion. Now, Dodd-Frank’s Appraiser-Independence Legislation is the rule of the day and there is a lot of confusion out there between both Home Appraisers and Real Estate Agents on communication! I just had an Agent this week contact me complaining about an Appraiser that came in short on an appraisal because the Appraiser didn’t understand the home on the river had 2 boat slips instead of just 1. This Agent didn’t understand that he could have spoken with the appraiser at the beginning to clear all facts up about this property.

LiveValuationMagazineThe November 8, 2010 article in Live Valuation Magazine written by Larry Disney, Change to Appraisal and Appraiser Regulation Has Arrived – Are You Ready? sheds some light on this topic. The language in the new Dodd-Frank legislation appears to help the communication process between Agents and Appraisers and Sellers and Borrowers. For example, in this article, Mr. Disney states,

home-appraisal-grid-of-compsThe above language is not meant to imply that mortgage lenders, mortgage brokers, mortgage bankers, real estate brokers, appraisal management companies, employees of appraisal management companies, consumers, or any other person with an interest in a real estate transaction cannot ask an appraiser to consider additional information, including comparable sales; provide further detail, substantiation, or explanation for an opinion of value; and correct errors in the appraisal report.

It sounds to me like Agents can communicate with home Home Appraisers.

questionmarkI asked two (2) nationally known Home Appraisers these questions below:

At what point can the RE Agent talk to the appraiser regarding the purchase appraisal?

*When the initial appraisal inspection is setup?
*After the appraiser has inspected the property?
*If only at the initial setup, then can that agent provide their comps / support then to avoid an appeal later?
*What’s your policy or understanding on this?

*Was I wrong in what I’ve told this agent that asked me below:

Bill-CobbI as an appraiser have always considered there to be 3 Real Estate Professionals in the deal: Listing Agent, Selling Agent and Appraiser. To avoid appeals, I ask for the Agent’s comps at the time I set the inspection up. Some Agents are offended that I do this because they take it as if I’m questioning them. I’m not questioning, just trying to give them their opportunity to “talk” to the appraiser before I go out for the inspection and avoid an appeal later. I think you should be proactive with Appraisers and take as much control of your deals as possible……and that’s done initially when the appraiser calls to set up the appraisal inspection. It’s a myth that Agents can’t talk to Appraisers, it’s just that the communication must take place before the appraiser inspection and not after the inspection.

Their two (2) responses I received are below:

In summary, one Appraiser stated that there has been a lot over reaction and that they try to talk to the Agents of most deals. If a value issue arises, the appraiser said he contacts them for their data, which could be before or after the inspection, without letting on that there is a value issue.

Washington State Appraiser, Dave Towne, Said:

Dave-Towne-Washington-State-Appraiser-and-Appraiser-Education ServicesI’m with you on this. I sometimes will ask agents for their ‘cma’, saying “I want to be sure I understand how you priced this property at the time of listing. I want to be sure I don’t miss any properties that you may have considered.” I do this when I determine the price is too high based on comps I pre-research prior to inspecting.

Often, they don’t even have those in their file, and just provide listings at inspection time that support the price, but that are not necessarily comps from our perspective.

An appraiser has to be careful about accepting carte blanche properties provided by someone financially connected to the deal. But I don’t think trying to understand the preliminary pricing process is out of line. However, after the inspection and the report is complete/submitted, that’s not the time to complain – especially if the agent was uncooperative at the start.

We are supposed to ‘verify’ every sale. That involves communication with the players involved prior to report completion. Unfortunately agents sometimes have an adversarial attitude, and appraisers don’t do an effective job discussing this. I think you do, based on your info.

And anyone connected to the assignment can discuss aspects of the property with the appraiser in advance of report submittal, as long as there is no attempt to influence the value.”

what-about-amc-client-instructionsWhat does the Home Appraiser’s Client Instructions Say About This Topic – The AMC’s or Appraisal Management Companies?

I reviewed three (3) recent appraisal orders for home purchases. These Appraisal Orders were 8 pages, 3 pages and 4 pages in length. None of these orders stated the Appraiser couldn’t communicate with the Agent. Two sets of the instructions read,

Purchases require that you review the sales contract and state in report that contract was reviewed. Obtain contract from Agent/Contract or Contact AMC for help. Contract must be fully executed.” Fully executed means the contract must have ALL signatures or you the Agent hold up the deal!

For Purchase transactions, if AMC does not provide you with the sales contract governing the transaction, you must contact us or the borrower/REALTOR to obtain it.”

Conclusion. It appears from ALL sources reviewed that Agents can communicate with Appraisers during a purchase transaction. My advice as a Home Appraiser is to provide the Appraiser with a list of relevant features, upgrades, your Sketch showing your measurements and a list of your supportable comps used to market the property. By providing your comps up front, you are avoiding an appeal after the appraisal is completed, which will also help speed the closing process.

home-sketchWhy Did I just state, “your Sketch showing your measurements”? Because in the month of May in my market, one deal did not appraise and another deal was very, very close simply because the Agents either did not measure the homes, simply copied a previous incorrect MLS listing or measured them incorrectly per the National “ANSI” Standards. The MLS Listings were incorrect by 173sf and 215sf. The 173sf error was in a market where homes were selling in the $121/sf range. If you have your own sketch, you can be sure that your listing is the right size, priced properly and be less questionable in terms of the appraisal.

 

AUTHOR’S BIO:

Bill Cobb is Greater Baton Rouge’s Home Appraiser frequently called upon by banks, homeowners, and savvy real estate investors to assess property values. A home appraiser with 20 years experience, Bill Cobb brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as a home appraiser.

Bill’s company, Accurate Valuations Group, serves Greater Baton Rouge (East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish).

Contact Bill Cobb and Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group for your next home appraisal:
Office: 225-293-1500, Cell: 225-953-0638
Fax: 1-866-663-6065
info@accuratevg.com
http://www.accuratevg.com/

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Is A Baton Rouge View Adjustment Supportable For Fannie Mae Appraisal Forms?

http://www.homeappraisalsbatonrouge.com/ – Why Do Fannie Mae Appraisal Forms Include Adjustment Grid for “View”?

fannie-mae-form-for-view

 

Dave-Towne-Washington-State-Appraiser-and-Appraiser-Education ServicesWashington State Appraiser, Dave Towne, recently offered tremendous value to home appraisers by providing a copy of a list of the Top 12 FDIC Appraisal Deficiencies, see list below. In case you are not aware, the FDIC, in order recoup loses, is filing suit against AMCs (Appraisal Management Companies) and individual appraisers for questionable appraisal work that could have led to mortgage defaults. FDIC is seeking hunreds of millions of dollars in these suits.

Dave said, “Appraisers….

The FDIC has recently named a major nationwide AMC in a suit involving hundreds of defaulted properties**, claiming the AMC was deficient in the way they reviewed original appraisal reports. The suit has not gone to trial yet.

Included with the suit legal documents was this list that shows issues of concern in the original appraisal reports.

This would be a good list to use to review your own reports prior to submittal.

 

fdic-appraisal-deficiencies list

I personally found much satisfaction in #4 above about the applying “not reasonable, large unsupported adjustments for intangibles such as view, etc.” See this water front lot photo below.

water-front-lot

 

My reply to Dave follows….

Thank you so very much, Dave!!!

I LOVE YOUR #4, about applying non-supportable adjustments for “view”. There is no such adjustment and I don’t understand why FNMA even has that in the grid. Dave, when a buyer closes on a lake lot, do they have “2″ closings, one for the site value and another separate closing for the lake view? No they don’t….and that would be insane wouldn’t it? There is no such thing as a supportable “View” adjustment. The entire value in a lot is the “Site” itself and all of the attributes of that site: land, size, view, historic trees, etc.. It all makes up the “Site Value”. And, based on what you’ve sent us, I’m not the only appraiser or regulatory agency who polices appraisers who thinks this way!

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Prairieville La House Appraisers: Lakes At Oak Grove Homes Sales Report 2011

http://www.facebook.com/ascrebuzz – Prairieville La Home Appraisers: Lakes At Oak Grove Homes Sales Report 2011. Since May 2010, median sales price has risen 4%.

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A recent home appraisal in and analysis of Lakes At Oak Grove Subdivision revealed this interesting finding. From 2008 to 2011, the median sales price has declined from $237,800 to $227,800 to $229,700 to now $235,000 into 2011 based only on 1 sale. So, 2008 was the post Hurricane Katrina “High” year followed by 2 years of declines. 2011 at $235,000 is higher than 2009 and 2010. Again, 2011′s $235,000 is only based on 1 sale while 2010′s $229,700 was based on 5 sales. The Listing-To-Sales-Price-Ratio at 98% is the highest since 2007.

TWO MLS CHARTS OF ALL HOME SALES SINCE 2005

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The Chart below shows all home sales since 2005. The median sales price is still down -1.6% since the high in 2007. The median sales price has risen 4% since May 2010. But Again, this chart’s is greatly weighed upward based on this one (1) 2011 sale of $235,000.

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NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of January 1, 2005 to May 8, 2011. This information was extracted on 5/8/2011. YES, permission was granted by GBRMLS to use Subdivision Price Trends Chart Report!

 

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AUTHOR’S BIO:

Bill Cobb is Greater Baton Rouge’s Home Appraiser frequently called upon by banks, homeowners, and savvy real estate investors to assess property values. A home appraiser with 20 years experience, Bill Cobb brings a wealth of knowledge to the table as a home appraiser.

Bill’s company, Accurate Valuations Group, serves Greater Baton Rouge (East Baton Rouge Parish, West Baton Rouge Parish, Western Livingston Parish and Northern Ascension Parish).

Contact Bill Cobb and Accurate Valuations Home Appraisal Group for your next home appraisal:
Office: 225-293-1500, Cell: 225-953-0638
Fax: 1-866-663-6065
info@accuratevg.com
http://www.accuratevg.com/

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

What Is A Baton Rouge CVR Home Appraisal or Collateral Valuation Report?

http://www.gbrcvrreports.com/ – What Is A Baton Rouge CVR Home Appraisal or Collateral Valuation Report? What Is A Comp Cruncher CVR Report? Watch This Short Video To Learn More! To Make The Video Player Larger, Click The Bottom Right Arrrow Button!

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The Collateral Valuation Report (CVR) is a desktop application program that is capable of valuing properties as accurately as a URAR report, and can be delivered to you in about 24 hours. This report is designed to be completed by a certified appraiser who has local area knowledge of the neighborhood.

This appraisal report is ideal for:
* Replacing BPOs
* HELOCS
* Portfolio Analysis
* Reviews
* Litigation

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CVR integrates public records, MLS, flood, imagery and other relevant data directly to the report. In addition, the appraiser can define the neighborhood and use the most sophisticated analytics available. Adjustments are supported, comparable sales and listing are ranked and scored and ultimately, all of the data is available for an appraiser to interactively provide the most supportable valuation solution. The CVR is an affordable valuation solution. Better than a BPO, Less than a URAR.

The Summary Page Of A Sample CVR Report Is Below! A COMPLETE SAMPLE CVR REPORT is available to review at this link!

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HOW DOES ONE ORDER A GREATER BATON ROUGE CVR REPORT?

 

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Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

West Baton Rouge Home Appraisers VIDEO: Missouri Acres Addis Report For 2009-2010

http://www.westbatonrougeappraiser.com/ – West Baton Rouge Home Appraisers VIDEO: Missouri Acres Subdivision in Addis Louisiana Report For 2009-2010

In Missouri Acres in 2009-2010, the median sales price for the 5 GBRMLS sales was $238,000 with an average sold price of $119.64/sf. The low to high sales prices were $219,000 to $258,000. However, this market is very slow and the days on the market it takes to sell a home has been increasing over the past two (2) years above the $225,000 price ranges.

Missouri Acres Addis La YouTube

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West Baton Rouge Real Estate Appraisers is an information source provided by local West Baton Rouge Parish Home Appraiser, Bill Cobb, and Accurate Valuations Group West. Bill has 20 years experience as a residential appraiser and updates his local network of sites weekly with reports, videos and audio reviews of local housing market conditions! Some of the videos on this site are housing market updates provided by Bill himself and others are videos of local homes for sale by area Agents.

http://www.batonrougerealestatebuzz.com/ is also a helpful resource for local West Baton Rouge Real Estate Buzz!

While Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends Dot Net reports on the broad or macro Greater Baton Rouge Housing Markets, Baton Rouge Market Metrics Dot Com reports on the individual subdivisions within the four (4) local Parishes that make up the Greater Baton Rouge Housing Market.

NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of January 1, 2009 to December 31, 2010. This information was extracted on 02/13/2011.

Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Zachary Louisiana Home Appraisers: Early Learning Center Photos Posted

http://www.zacharylouisianarealestate.info/ – Zachary Louisiana Home Appraisers: Early Learning Center Photos Posted

The Early Learning Center, located on the Rollins Road extension, is the school for the district’s pre-kindergarten students.

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Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends

Baton Rouge Home Appraisal Video: 2010 Village St. George Subdivision Update

http://www.batonrougehomeappraisal.com/ – Baton Rouge Home Appraisal Video: 2010 Village St. George Subdivision Update

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100 1642

13565 Honey Drive Baton Rouge LA 70810

Solds In Village St George Subdivision from 1/2010 to 12/31/2010 revealed:

Average Sales Price: $125,857 ($126,909 in 2009)
Average Sold Price Per Sq. Ft.: $89.61/sf ($86.39/sf in 2009)
Median Sold Price: $129,000 ($123,000 in 2009)
Number of Sales: 21 (11 in 2009)
Average Number of Days On Market: 94 (67 in 2009)
Low To High: $79,000 to $160,000
Number of Distressed Sales Noted In MLS: “3″
Current # Listings: 11, 3 Are Distressed Listings
Current Listings Price: $89,900 to $149,900 or $61/sf to $120/sf

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NOTE: Based on information from the Greater Baton Rouge Association of REALTORS®\MLS for the period of January 1, 2007 to December 31, 2010. This information was extracted on 1/31/2011. YES, this appraiser does have the permission of GBRMLS to use the chart above Subdivision Price Trends Report!

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Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends
Baton Rouge Real Estate Trends